New project management articles published on the web during the week of March 31 – April 6. We read all of this stuff so you don’t have to! And Elizabeth Harrin was kind enough to give me a guest spot on her blog, PM4Girls – thanks, Mum! Also recommended:
PM Best Practices
Glen Alleman explores the clever phrase, “Do it right or do it twice.”
Gary Nelson notes that there is an appropriate window of opportunity for change. After that, everything gets expensive or impossible.
Bruce Benson sings the praises of arguments, disputes, and debates.
Barry Hodge argues that Nozbe is the best “to do” list app for project managers, and gives five excellent reasons. I’m still not ditching Trello, though …
Dick Billows notes the advantages of using a software-based project scheduling tool, and shoots down the arguments against it.
Marian Haus recaps the three “traditional” techniques for overcoming project schedule constraints.
John Goodpasture shares a challenge question he puts to his risk management students, on how to assess the impact of a new technology, process, or vendor.
Tony Adams traces the link between the project charter and the engagement of the project sponsor.
Henny Portman links us to some great how-to videos for Excel – the project manager’s Swiss Army Knife.
Sue Geuens notes that incorrect data records can lead to some pretty serious consequences.
Jeff Pierce addresses requirements gathering for those development projects with a lot of constraints.
Johanna Rothman continues her series on designing your own Agile project, with a look at dealing with the unknowns.
Cheri Baker looks into the post-success bounce, and why success is so often temporary.
Soma Bhattacharya talks about what to do once you’ve succeeded, and your Scrum team is successful, productive, and stable.
Dave Prior reflects on how he’s using (and benefiting from) his personal Kanban, as a follow-up to his interviews with Jim Benson.
Paulo Dias looks at the down side of starting a Sprint on a Monday.
Strategy and Governance
Martin Webster asks an interesting question: “Does strategy emerge or is it planned?”
Elizabeth Harrin reviews Georg Vielmetter and Yvonne Sell’s new book, “Leadership 2030: The Six Megatrends You Need to Understand to Lead Your Company into the Future .”
Michael Wood notes that the maxim “simpler is better” also applies to project portfolio management.
Dennis McCafferty shares a slide deck that shows compensation and career prospects for experience project managers are looking very good, indeed.
Linky van der Merwe links us to a few resources for project managers looking to make a career move.
Michel Dion provides some tips for those preparing for a job interview.
When you’re trying to put together a business case, it’s good to be able to base it on statistics, facts, and projections from well-respected authorities. Here are some quick facts and trivia items, to help you get some perspective on the shift to mobile, connected devices.
Phones to Mobiles to Smart Phones
According to the CIA World Factbook, there were approximately 1,181 million land line telephones in the world, at the end of 2012. It appears that the number of landlines peaked in 2008, roughly 132 years after the invention of the telephone, and a gradual decline has been evident since then.
The first digital cellular network was introduced in Finland, in 1991. The number of mobile subscriptions is expected to exceed the world’s population sometime in 2014, just 23 years later.
The Centers for Disease Control reports that, as of 2013, only 8.6% of households in the United States (where the telephone was invented) now have only a land line phone, whereas 38.2% of households have only mobile phones.
Palm introduced the first commercially viable smart phone, the Kyocera 6035, in 2001. Twelve years later, market research firm IDC reports that 1,004 million smart phones were shipped in 2013, more than half of the total 1,822 million mobile phones. The total number of smart phones shipped in 2017 is expected to increase by 71%.
By volume, Samsung has about 30% of the smart phone market, while second place Apple has nearly 19%. Huawei, LG, and Lenovo each had between 4.5% and 4.9%. Of the five, Apple showed the slowest growth. The three smaller vendors had the largest growth, mostly in the developing world.
Computers and Portables
According to various sources, there are approximately 1.6 billion desktop, portable, and kiosk computers in use in 2013, 32 years after IBM introduced the first Personal Computer.
IDC estimates that 134 million desktop and 181 portable computers were shipped in 2013. They project that in 2017, the total number of desktop and laptop computers shipped will be approximately the same, although they expect a shift of about 8% from desktop to portable.
Despite the end of support scheduled for April 8, 2014, it is estimated that 500 million computers still run Microsoft’s XP operating system, including 95% of the world’s automated teller machines.
Although the Pencept and GRiDPad were introduced in the 1980’s, and Microsoft introduced a short-lived tablet PC in 2001, the first general-purpose, practical tablet computer to gain widespread acceptance was the iPad, introduced by Apple in April, 2010. Just three years later, IDC estimated that 221 million tablets were shipped in 2013.
Apple still has about 35% of the market, although Android tablets account for 61%. IDC projects that the total number of tablets shipped in 2017 will increase to 386 million devices.
IDC expects Windows tablets to account for 10% of the market by 2017, while Android will account for 59%.
By 2016, Cisco expects there will be 3.4 billion Internet users ― about 45 percent of the world’s projected population.
Cisco forecasts annual global IP traffic in 2016 to be 1.3 zettabytes – (a zettabyte is equal to a sextillion bytes, or a trillion gigabytes). By that time, over half of all internet traffic will come from Wi-Fi connections.
Also in 2016, an expected 1.2 million video minutes―the equivalent of 833 days (or over two years) ―will travel the Internet every second.
According to Statista, as of 2013, mobile phones account for 17% of global web usage. This ranges from 15.2% in North America and 9.7% in Europe to nearly 27% in Asia. Note that mobile apps and mobile web sites tend to be more efficient in bandwidth utilization than their non-mobile counterparts.
Estimates vary, but approximately 70% of global web usage flowed through desktop and portable computers in 2013.
While the “Internet of Things” appears to be a growth market, it appears that it will not consume an appreciable volume of internet traffic, in the next few years.
If you have other estimates, questions, or counter-arguments, leave a comment below.